"""Enumerate every ordered bootstrap sample; emit the matching PNG in CWD.""" from collections import Counter from fractions import Fraction from itertools import product from pathlib import Path import matplotlib matplotlib.use("Agg") import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import numpy as np def main(): counts = Counter(sum(sample) for sample in product((1, 2, 4), repeat=3)) sums = np.arange(3, 13) means = sums / 3 weights = np.array([counts[int(s)] for s in sums]) assert weights.sum() == 27 assert sum(Fraction(s, 3)*Fraction(c, 27) for s, c in counts.items()) == Fraction(7, 3) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10.5, 5.8), dpi=120) fig.patch.set_facecolor("white") ax.bar(means, weights/27, width=.23, color="#397a9e", edgecolor="#20556f", zorder=3) for x, c in zip(means, weights): ax.text(x, c/27+.008, f"{c}/27", ha="center", fontsize=12) ax.axvline(7/3, color="#a15820", ls="--", lw=1.7, label=r"Original mean $7/3$") ax.set_xticks(means, [str(Fraction(int(s), 3)) for s in sums], fontsize=12) ax.set_xlabel(r"Bootstrap sample mean $\overline{X}^{*}$", fontsize=14) ax.set_ylabel("Exact conditional probability", fontsize=13) ax.set_ylim(0, .28) ax.set_xlim(.78, 4.23) ax.set_title("All 27 ordered resamples of (1, 2, 4)", fontsize=19, weight="bold", pad=20) ax.grid(axis="y", color="#dddddd", lw=.7, zorder=0) ax.spines[["top", "right"]].set_visible(False) ax.legend(loc="upper right", frameon=False, fontsize=11) fig.text(.5, .035, r"Counts are exact enumeration, not simulated frequencies. $\mathrm{Var}_{*}(\overline{X}^{*})=14/27$", ha="center", fontsize=12) fig.subplots_adjust(left=.1, right=.97, top=.85, bottom=.19) fig.savefig(Path(__file__).stem + ".png", facecolor="white", transparent=False) plt.close(fig) if __name__ == "__main__": main()