"""Illustrative joint overlap bounds; Python 3.14, NumPy 2.3.5, Matplotlib 3.10.7. Writes overlap-feasible-ellipses.png to cwd. Ellipses are stated deterministic sets, not assigned probability coverage regions. """ from pathlib import Path import matplotlib matplotlib.use('Agg') import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import numpy as np def main(): h = np.linspace(0.62, 0.78, 400) theta = np.linspace(0, 2 * np.pi, 700) circle = np.vstack((np.cos(theta), np.sin(theta))) center = np.array([0.7, 2.5]) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 4), dpi=120, facecolor='white') ax.fill_between(h, 4 * h, 2.88, where=4 * h <= 2.88, color='#f6e8df', label='No finite positive inverse') for corr, color, label in [(0, '#bd562b', 'Uncorrelated joint set'), (0.8, '#225ea8', 'Correlation +0.8')]: cov = np.array([[0.03**2, corr * 0.03 * 0.1], [corr * 0.03 * 0.1, 0.1**2]]) xy = center[:, None] + 2 * np.linalg.cholesky(cov) @ circle ax.plot(xy[0], xy[1], lw=2, color=color, label=label) ax.plot(h, 4 * h, '--', color='0.2', label=r'Boundary $D=4h$') ax.scatter([center[0]], [center[1]], color='black', s=24, zorder=5) ax.text(0.704, 2.48, 'Same center and marginal scales', fontsize=9) ax.set(xlim=(0.62, 0.78), ylim=(2.22, 2.88), xlabel=r'Radius-setting parameter $h$', ylabel=r'Overlap log-ratio $D$', title='Joint calibration geometry controls boundary compatibility') ax.grid(alpha=0.2) ax.legend(loc='upper right', fontsize=8) fig.tight_layout() fig.savefig(Path('overlap-feasible-ellipses.png'), dpi=120, facecolor='white') plt.close(fig) if __name__ == '__main__': main()