Exponential decay of subcritical percolation Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-11-05
For independent nearest-neighbour bond percolation on , , and , there are constants such that
Here is the percolation critical probability, and the event asks for an open path from the origin to maximum-norm distance . The constants may depend on and . The theorem strengthens absence of an infinite percolation cluster: it quantifies how unlikely a long finite connection becomes.[ref]
The finite-set criterion for percolation sharpness explains the mechanism. Below the threshold, a finite set can be chosen with exit quantity . Repeatedly splitting a long open path as it exits translated copies of , and using the BK inequality, yields a geometric contraction in the number of such steps. Each step spans a bounded distance, converting the geometric bound into exponential decay in . Decay of the percolation cluster radius is distinct from the stronger exponential tail of subcritical cluster size.
Hugo Duminil-Copin 2026-11-05
Hugo Duminil-Copin coauthored a proof of the sharp bond percolation transition with Vincent Tassion. Their nearest-neighbor lattice argument establishes exponential decay below the critical probability and a positive lower bound for the infinite-cluster probability above it. The result explains why the transition separates quantitatively different connectivity behavior.[ref]
Vincent Tassion 2026-11-05
Vincent Tassion coauthored a proof of sharpness of the bond percolation transition with Hugo Duminil-Copin. Below the critical probability, connection to distance decays exponentially; above it, the infinite-cluster probability obeys a quantitative lower bound. The argument distinguishes two regimes on either side of the threshold rather than merely proving that a threshold exists.[ref]