Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 31 2 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
For the original exponential distribution, cancel the nonzero root into obtainIt lies strictly below the transform pole .
With the extra expenses, the insurer's payment per claim is , where has exponential distribution of expected value and is independent of . The convolution of independent random variables gives a hypoexponential distribution withKeeping the relative safety loading fixed means using the new expected payment: the premium rate becomes . It does not mean keeping the old premium rate fixed. The adjustment coefficient with independent claim expenses therefore solvesSet , cancel , and simplify:The quadratic is positive at and equals at . Its leading coefficient is positive, so the smaller root is in and the larger root exceeds . Only the smaller root lies in the finite moment-generating function domain. HenceFor ,Thus the new adjustment coefficient is about smaller, even though the premium rate has been increased to retain the same relative safety loading. The Lundberg inequality consequently has a slower exponential decay rate as a function of capital.