Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 210 2 Solution 2026-10-03
Letso . In the Gaussian sequence model, put . For each relevant coordinate, the posterior density of relative to the standard-normal density isThe log-Lipschitz assumption impliesThese bounds provide Gaussian-integrable domination, while the ratio converges pointwise to one. Dominated convergence, coordinate independence, and the same argument after multiplying by show that, under the posterior,almost surely. The supplied moment-generating-function criterion therefore gives the finite-functional Bernstein-von Mises theoremwith uniform convergence of distribution functions.
If , the posterior quantile defining consequently satisfiesin probability. Under ,for every . Quantile convergence and the Slutsky theorem now yield