For events , the probabilistic inclusion-exclusion principle is
To prove it, fix an outcome lying in exactly events. Its total coefficient on the right is
by the binomial theorem; outcomes in no event contribute zero. Taking expectations of this pointwise indicator identity proves the formula. Truncating after the pair terms gives the Bonferroni inequalities
For the final bound, let and . The intersection assumption gives
The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality applied to yields . Therefore
so the required universal constant may be taken as . This is a second moment method estimate.