Central-moment closure Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-11-05
A central-moment closure sets selected high-order central moments to zero. For example, setting the third central moment of to zero gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 356 1 d i Solution 2026-09-28
For any observable , the Markov jump-process generator identity givesSet and . With , reaction 2 changes by and reaction 3 changes it by . Thereforeand, using and ,The equation for the second moment contains the third, whose equation contains the fourth, and so on. This is an infinite moment hierarchy.
Reaction 1 eventually leaves the odd initial copy number at . PutThe stationary first-moment equation givesThe stationary second-moment equation then givesUnder the prescribed central-moment closure,Substitution yields the requested polynomial equationThis cubic comes from the closure approximation; it is not an exact equation for the stationary mean.