Collision-ejection lifetime of a comet Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-11-05
The collision-ejection lifetime of a comet combines two ways to remove it from a specified orbital population: impact and gravitational ejection. If these can be approximated as constant competing Poisson process rates and , the survival probability and mean lifetime areEquivalently, . The probability that collision is the first removal is .
Coplanar comet collision time and planetary ejection of a comet estimate the constituent processes under different encounter assumptions. Their reciprocal times should only be added when they refer to a consistent population and approximately stationary rates. Repeated planetary scattering can change the orbit and correlate encounters, invalidating a single exponential lifetime.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 316 1 viii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Exclude collisions from the ejection count. The effective collision width is , while the favorable noncolliding ejection width is . Define the first flyby-ejection threshold and the equal-rate crossover byThere are no direct noncolliding ejections in this weak-deflection model for . Above that threshold, comparison of the two rates gives collision is more likely for , while ejection is more likely for . In the deep-crossing limit , so its scaling at fixed density is . Order-one factors depend on encounter geometry; the robust condition compares with .
Adding the mutually exclusive rare-event loss rates gives the collision-ejection lifetime of a comet:For this is . For it approaches . A logarithmic sketch therefore bends from slope to slope , with no maximum. At the equal-rate crossover the lifetime is half either individual loss time.
These asymptotic branches use the corrected residence density from part iii and require and a local encounter scale below the Hill radius. They cannot be extrapolated indefinitely to arbitrarily distant weakly bound orbits.
