Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 iii Paper 221 4 iii Solution 2026-09-28
LetandBecause contains all exposure-outcome confounding and is independent of , the exclusion restriction and the law of total expectation giveLikewise,The no confounder-instrument interaction assumption says is constant. Relevance gives , so the Wald ratio isthe overall average treatment effect.