= Finite precision tests of the leading electron anomaly
A prediction becomes useful when its error and the competing models are explicit. Consider an original hypothetical readout $a_*=0.00116$ with stipulated absolute tolerance $2\times10^{-5}$. Hold the teaching input $\alpha=1/137$ fixed. Compare three models: the <Dirac equation> baseline $a_e=0$, the leading <QED> value $a_e=\alpha/(2\pi)$, and a trial coefficient twice as large, $a_e=\alpha/\pi$. Their absolute residuals are respectively $0.00116$, approximately $1.7149\times10^{-6}$, and approximately $0.00116343$. Only the leading <QED> value lies inside this stipulated tolerance. The example tests both the existence and the size of a correction; it does not quote an actual observation or assign the tolerance a statistical interpretation.
At tighter precision, including more <loop orders> and propagating the uncertainty in the <fine-structure constant> becomes essential. The first omitted term has order $\alpha^2$, but the order symbol alone gives no numerical error bound. If $\alpha$ changes by a small $\delta\alpha$, this leading prediction changes by $\delta a_e=\delta\alpha/(2\pi)$. Thus a comparison must state which input determined $\alpha$: extracting it from the very <electron magnetic moment> being tested would not supply an independent test of that input. Agreement with one leading term at one tolerance does not establish agreement to arbitrarily many digits.
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