Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 38 3 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Use the same affine drift cancellation with terminal conditions , . It gives , , soThe process is bounded, which justifies the conditional expectation identity. The Bayes formula for conditional expectation for the forward measure now givesThe denominator is positive; the ratio lies in and equals at maturity. This is the forward-measure terminal rate in a linear bond model.