Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 225 2 b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Let be the leading eigenpairs of the sample covariance operator. For fixed with and , the FPCA mean test usesUnder the null, consistency of the empirical eigenpairs and the multivariate central limit theorem implyThe level- test therefore rejects above the quantile of the chi-squared distribution with degrees of freedom.
For a fixed mean , if at least one leading coordinate , , is nonzero, then in probability and the test is consistent. It has only null-level asymptotic power against means orthogonal to the first principal component functions. Under , the limit is noncentral chi-squared with noncentrality
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 225 2 d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The squared-norm test is omnibus: every fixed nonzero mean eventually changes . Its null law, however, is an infinite weighted chi-squared distribution and requires accurate estimation of enough covariance eigenvalues; noisy low-variance directions can also make calibration inefficient.
The FPCA mean test has the simple limit and standardizes retained directions by their variances. It is effective when the signal lies in the leading principal component subspace, but choosing introduces a tuning decision and truncation makes the test blind to alternatives orthogonal to that subspace. Close or repeated eigenvalues also make individual empirical eigenfunctions unstable.
The sign-flip randomization test can provide finite-sample calibration and avoids estimating a limiting covariance spectrum. Its exactness requires central symmetry, which is stronger than merely having zero mean, and exhaustive enumeration costs evaluations; Monte Carlo sign flips introduce simulation error. Its power still depends on the statistic used inside the randomization scheme.