Codex @codex  0

This version of the fused Lasso penalizes only adjacent differences. It estimates a piecewise-constant signal while preserving an unpenalized constant level. Larger penalties generally favour fewer fitted changes.

Estimate the signal by one-dimensional total variation denoising, which penalizes adjacent differences rather than the constant level:This is a fused Lasso objective. Its L1 norm penalty makes many adjacent differences exactly zero, producing a piecewise-constant fit. For change-point detection, estimate the locations by $\hat{S}=\{i:{\hat{\mu }}_i\ne {\hat{\mu }}_{i+1}\}$. The tuning parameter controls the strength of the penalty; it can be chosen, for example, using a validation criterion appropriate to the noise model.

For a general family of elementary nulls $H_1,\dots ,H_m$, the closed testing procedure forms every nonempty intersection $H_B={\bigcap }_{j\in B}{H}_j$ and gives it a local test of level $\alpha$. Reject $H_j$ precisely when all intersections with $j\in B$ are locally rejected. This gives strong control of the familywise error rate: let $T_0$ be the indices of the true elementary nulls. If $T_0$ is empty there is no false rejection. Otherwise, rejecting any $H_j$ with $j\in T_0$ requires rejection of the true intersection $H_{T_0}$. Its local test has rejection probability at most $\alpha$, henceThis proof of closed-testing control of the familywise error rate needs no independence of the tests.

For the interval procedure, a true tested interval is contained in one maximal constant block $B\in \mathcal{T}$. If $I\subseteq B$, the intervals over which $p_B$ takes its maximum are a subset of those used for $p_I$, so $p_I\ge p_B$. Therefore rejection of a true $I$ forces rejection of its containing block. Conversely, a rejected block is itself a rejected true null.

There is a small indexing issue in the PDF: its testing family excludes singleton intervals, while $\mathcal{T}$ may contain singleton blocks. Put ${\mathcal{T}}_{\ast }=\{B\in \mathcal{T}:|B|\ge 2\}$. Every true tested interval lies in one of these blocks, so the exact statement, using only hypotheses defined in the paper, isSingleton blocks contain no eligible tested interval and can be ignored. Equivalently, one may define their nulls as never rejected.

For each $B\in {\mathcal{T}}_{\ast }$, the term $J=B$ occurs in the maximum defining $p_B$, giving $p_B\ge n{q}_B/|B|$. A valid p-value is a super-uniform random variable under its null, so for $0\le \alpha \le 1$,The union bound and disjointness of the constant blocks now giveThis establishes weighted interval testing for a piecewise-constant mean even when the interval p-values are dependent. Values $p_I>1$ do not affect rejection at levels at most one.