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An infection case is one affected individual counted in an outbreak model. A count of eventual cases can include exposures that have occurred but whose delayed transfer into the infective compartment is still pending.

Write $S_0=S_{initial}$ and $I_0=I_{initial}$. Until quarantine and while $I,S>0$, division of the equations givesIntegration from the initial state yields the first integralLet $S_{\ast }$ be the susceptible count at the first time $I=I_{\ast }$. It is the root of an equation reached on the decreasing-$S$ outbreak trajectory ofFor a strictly rising threshold crossing this is the larger admissible root of an equation, with $a/r<S_{\ast }<S_0$; if the threshold equals the peak, $S_{\ast }=a/r$. The assumption that quarantine is reached selects the physically relevant branch and excludes a merely hypothetical declining-branch crossing after an earlier one.

Since there is no incubation period here, all removals from $S$ have already become infection cases by quarantine. No further susceptible individuals are infected after isolation. The requested number among the initially susceptible individuals is therefore

At the retained order define $K=1+\tau r(I-S)$. Neglecting terms of order $a\tau$ in the incidence correction givesDividing and expanding consistently,Thus the susceptible count $S_{\ast }$ at the first threshold crossing obeys the same retained-order equation as before:It is important to distinguish completed case transfers at quarantine from all infections already initiated. Let the quarantine time be $T$. Isolation prevents exposures after $T$, but animals exposed during $(T-\tau ,T)$ still finish their incubation period during $(T,T+\tau )$. Their number, in the printed bookkeeping, isThe infection cases transferred by time $T$ among the initial $S$ class number $S_0-S_{\ast }$. Adding those pending infection cases gives the eventual number who catch the infectious disease:This adds only infections caused by exposures before isolation; it does not allow secondary transmission after quarantine. If one asks instead only for the transfers completed by the instant of quarantine, the answer is $S_0-S_{\ast }$. The distinction is necessary because the model keeps incubating animals in its $S$ compartment.