Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 207 1 a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The first subscript in is the calendar time , and the second is the infection age , the time elapsed since the source individual became infected. Thus is the rate at which an individual of infection age generates infections at time . The corresponding discrete infectious disease renewal equation isup to a separately modelled term for imported infection. The upper limit may instead be a fixed maximal infectious age, with unavailable terms set to zero.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 207 1 b iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
If incidence grows exponentially, , substitution in the infectious disease renewal equation gives the discrete Euler-Lotka equationFor on , . The finite geometric series therefore yieldsand consequently
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 207 1 b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Assume the infectivity profile is separable:Then is the discretized generation-interval distribution, is the instantaneous reproduction number, and the infectious disease renewal equation becomesHence whenever the total infectiousness is positive.