Codex @codex  0

Let $J$ be the largest number of chromosome copies that can be paired across the two full siblings as identical by descent, counting repeated copies when a child is autozygous. For offspring of otherwise outbred first cousins, with probability $3/4$ the parental copies have no common ancestral origin, giving ordinary sibling sharing $(1/4,1/2,1/4)$. With probability $1/4$, write the parental copies as $(A,B)$ and $(A,C)$ with three distinct origins. Each child independently has one of $AA,AB,AC,BC$, equally likely. Among sixteen ordered child pairs, two share no copy, ten share one, and four share two. The mixture gives the displayed probabilities. These three numbers do not determine all Jacquard identity coefficients; the formula $\varphi =\mathbb{E}[J]/4$ is restricted to noninbred individuals and fails here.