Write , and put , for . Counting the -subsets of the events that occur gives . Set for . The Jordan-Bonferroni exact-occurrence inequalities are
Here is an integer. To prove both bounds, evaluate the truncated expression before taking its expectation. At an integer value it equals
For this is one. For , Pascal's identity, or an induction on , gives
For the original expression is zero. Thus its difference from is everywhere nonnegative for even and nonpositive for odd . Taking expectations proves the inequalities, including .
For a general nonnegative integer-valued random variable, define its factorial moment by , where is the falling factorial and . The same pointwise calculation applies to , so put
Every required moment is finite under the given limit assumption: eventual finiteness of higher factorial moments implies finiteness of the lower ones. The neighbouring upper and lower bounds differ in absolute value by
The last ratio tends to one, and the first factor involving the moment tends to zero. Since lies between every two such neighbouring bounds, each tends to it. Consequently the factorial-moment inversion is
This proves convergence of the signed series without an unjustified interchange with an expectation.
For any prescribed , take for , with . Since and , the two moment sums have tails comparable respectively to and . Thus but , as required.