Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 ib Paper 3 8H iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The moving sums are not necessarily Markov. For a counterexample, let the be independent Bernoulli variables with parameter . On the eventwe must have and , soOn the other hand, and force and , whenceBoth conditioning events have positive probability. Knowledge of alone therefore does not determine the next-step law. The overlapping moving sum need not be Markov.