Solution (source code)

= Solution

The first output uses the equal-variance, pooled <Student's t-test>, as shown by its seven <statistical degrees of freedom>. Its exact model assumes two independent samples from <normal distributions>, with means $\mu_X,\mu_Y$ and a common unknown <variance> $\sigma^2$. The hypotheses are $H_0:\mu_X=\mu_Y$ against $H_1:\mu_X<\mu_Y$. The <sample means> are $\bar x=4.35$ and $\bar y=9.88$, and the unbiased within-sample <sample variances> are
$$
s_X^2=4.356667,\qquad s_Y^2=8.822.
$$
The <pooled sample variance> and its resulting <standard error> are
$$
s_p^2=\frac{3s_X^2+4s_Y^2}{7}=6.908286,\qquad
\operatorname{se}(\bar X-\bar Y)=s_p\sqrt{\frac14+\frac15}=1.763159.
$$
Hence
$$
\boxed{T=\frac{4.35-9.88}{1.763159}=-3.136416.}
$$
To justify its reference distribution, under the null $(\bar X-\bar Y)/(\sigma\sqrt{1/4+1/5})$ is standard normal, while $(3s_X^2+4s_Y^2)/\sigma^2$ is $\chi^2_7$, independently of the two <sample means>. Dividing the first variable by the square root of the second divided by seven gives the <exact pooled two-sample t statistic>, with <Student t-distribution> $t_7$. Its one-sided <p-value> is the lower tail
$$
\boxed{\Pr\{t_7\le-3.136416\}=0.0082307.}
$$
The associated one-sided 95% <confidence interval> for $\mu_X-\mu_Y$ is
$$
\boxed{\left(-\infty,\;\bar x-\bar y+t_{7,0.95}s_p\sqrt{1/4+1/5}\right)=(-\infty,-2.189557).}
$$
The printed missing lower bound means that this is a one-sided upper confidence limit, not that a finite lower endpoint should be estimated. With such small samples the normality and common-variance assumptions matter; a Welch analysis would use a different <variance> estimate and generally different degrees of freedom.

The second output is the <Wilcoxon rank sum test> for two independent continuous samples. Under a common-distribution <null hypothesis>, labels are exchangeable conditional on the pooled values, so the four ranks assigned to the first sample form a uniformly chosen four-element subset of $\{1,\ldots,9\}$. The first sample receives ranks $2,1,3,5$, giving raw rank sum
$$
\boxed{W_X=2+1+3+5=11.}
$$
Equivalently the <Mann–Whitney U test> statistic is $U_X=W_X-4\cdot5/2=1$, the number of cross-sample pairs with an $X$ observation larger than a $Y$ observation. This output reports the raw rank sum, rather than the shifted statistic used by some software.

A first sample tending to be smaller has a small rank sum. Under the null, all $\binom94=126$ rank allocations have equal <probability>. Only $\{1,2,3,4\}$ and $\{1,2,3,5\}$ have rank sum at most 11. By the <exact rank-sum tail one above the minimum>, the exact lower-tail <p-value> is
$$
\boxed{\Pr(W_X\le11)=\frac2{126}=0.0158730.}
$$
No large-sample normal approximation or continuity correction is involved; the absence of ties makes this simple enumeration valid. For a common-shape location-shift family, the test's alternative is a negative location shift of $X$ relative to $Y$. Without that model, the null is equality of distributions and the rank comparison is not simply a test of equality of means or <medians>.

\b[Both tests reject at the 5% level in the direction of smaller $X$ observations; only the pooled t-test rejects at 1%.] The t-test uses the numerical spacing and targets a mean difference under its normal model. The rank-sum test uses ordering and an exact exchangeability calculation, avoiding the normality and common-normal-variance assumptions. Their different <p-values> therefore reflect both different statistics and different modelling assumptions, not a numerical contradiction.