Solution (source code)

= Solution

<Overdispersion> means that conditional variance exceeds the Poisson mean. Under a correctly specified Poisson model, the Pearson statistic is approximately chi-squared with $149$ residual degrees of freedom. Here
$$
X^2=149(1.3119)\simeq195.5,\qquad
\frac{X^2-149}{\sqrt{2(149)}}\simeq2.69>1.645,
$$
so a one-sided five-percent test rejects. The displayed model-based confidence interval is too narrow. A quasi-Poisson fit can multiply standard errors by $\sqrt{1.3119}$; <negative binomial regression> or a random-effects count model can model the extra variation directly.