Conditional covariance 2026-10-06
For square-integrable random variables, . It is a -measurable random variable. Replacing by its conditional expectation given a larger sigma-field leaves this covariance unchanged when is measurable with respect to that larger sigma-field. This observation underlies recovery of a martingale-transform integrand by conditional covariance.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 2 30K c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Write . Conditional on , the variables , , and are known, while . HenceThe denominator is positive almost surely, so the recovery of a martingale-transform integrand by conditional covariance gives