Let be the maximal expected future reward minus search costs at posterior , with stopping value zero. Searching costs , succeeds with probability and earns , and otherwise produces the posterior displayed in part (a). The rewarded Bayesian box search Bellman equation is
Suppose . At every posterior , some index must satisfy
otherwise summing the reverse inequalities would give . For this box,
even if one stops immediately after a failed search. Hence at every posterior, and stopping before discovery is never optimal.
Once search necessarily continues until the ball is found, the expected reward is independent of the order of searches. Maximizing expected net reward therefore amounts to minimizing expected search cost. Part (a) applies, so the policy maximizing remains optimal.