For , the stochastic exponential solution stays strictly positive. Put . The Itô formula gives
Thus is a nonnegative local supermartingale. To justify the true supermartingale property, stop where or its stochastic integral exceeds successive bounds. The stopped Itô formula gives for . The conditional Fatou lemma and yield
In particular . The case is the identically zero process. This is the square-root stock supermartingale.
Square-root stock claim Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
The payout is a concave stock payoff. Its conditional expected value has a discount-like dependence on future variance. The square-root stock supermartingale explains the negative variance drift.