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Assume the vertical dynamical timescale of a disk is shorter than the thermal timescale of an accretion disk, which is itself shorter than the viscous timescale. This ordering is controlled in a thin disk with $\alpha \ll 1$: $t_{\mathrm{dyn}}\sim {\Omega }^{-1}$, $t_{\mathrm{th}}\sim (\alpha \Omega {)}^{-1}$ and $t_{\nu }\sim (r/H{)}^2{t}_{\mathrm{th}}$. Therefore compare heating and cooling at fixed surface density of a disk, radius, $\alpha$ and composition. Vertical hydrostatic equilibrium adjusts on the vertical dynamical timescale of a disk, giving $H\propto T^{1/2}$ and $\rho \propto T^{-1/2}$. Consequently the stipulated negative hydrogen ion opacity varies as $\kappa \propto T^{10-1/6}=T^{59/6}$. The rates per disk face then scale asThus heating increases while cooling decreases after a positive temperature perturbation. At equilibrium $Q^{+}=Q^{-}=Q_0$, a small change gives $\delta (Q^{+}-Q^{-})=(41/6)(Q_0/T)\delta T$, which drives the perturbation further from equilibrium for positive effective heat capacity. A negative temperature perturbation likewise increases the net cooling. This proves thermal instability from negative hydrogen ion opacity within the local closure; it is the temperature-slope test of thermal stability of an accretion disk. Holding volume density rather than surface density of a disk fixed would give a different cooling exponent, but still the same qualitative instability; the fixed-column comparison is the relevant thin-disk thermal test.

Analyze a local temperature perturbation at fixed radius and fixed surface density of a disk $\Sigma$. The thermal timescale of an accretion disk is shorter than its viscous timescale, so mass redistribution is negligible during the perturbation. Let $Q^{+}$ be viscous heating and $Q^{-}$ radiative cooling, measured consistently through one face or both faces, and define net cooling by $\dot{Q}=Q^{-}-Q^{+}$. A temperature increase is unstable if it decreases net cooling.

With gas pressure dominant, vertical hydrostatic equilibrium and the ideal gas law giveFor the alpha disk prescription with temperature-independent $\alpha$, $\nu =\alpha c_{s}H\propto T_c$, and the Keplerian rotation heating law isOne must not hold the steady-state $\dot{m}$ fixed while perturbing the temperature: the stress and heating respond through $\nu$, even though $\Sigma$ is temporarily fixed.

At an equilibrium temperature $T_0$ where $Q^{+}=Q^{-}=Q_0$, if $Q^{-}\propto T_c^q$ and $Q^{+}\propto T_c$, thenThe cooling exponent therefore decides the sign.

For hot, ionized, optically thin gas, the usual intended cooling model is thermal bremsstrahlung, whose volume emissivity scales as ${\rho }^2{T}_c^{1/2}$. Integrated vertically,Thus $q=0$, andA hotter annulus expands vertically, lowering its density enough to offset the direct increase in bremsstrahlung emission; viscous heating still rises.

For an optically thick medium with the Kramers' opacity law, $\kappa \propto {\rho }_c{T}_c^{-7/2}\propto T_c^{-4}$ at fixed $\Sigma$. Thermalized radiative diffusion givesIts falling opacity lets a hotter annulus radiate much more efficiently.

For an optically thick medium with dominant electron-scattering opacity, $\kappa$ is nearly independent of temperature. Provided enough true absorption is present to thermalize the radiation,This conclusion differs from the thermal instability of a radiation-pressure-dominated alpha disk, where the heating has a different temperature dependence. The question explicitly excludes that pressure regime.

The first conclusion needs its cooling assumption stated. $T>10^4\mathrm{K}$ alone does not guarantee that thermal bremsstrahlung dominates; atomic-line cooling, ionization changes, external illumination, or energy advection can change the answer. For a general optically thin emissivity ${\rho }^2\Lambda (T_c)$, the corresponding exponent isAccordingly, under the same fixed-$\Sigma$ alpha prescription,The unstable/stable/stable classification is the standard free-free/diffusion answer, rather than a universal result specified by temperature and optical depth alone.

For a gas-supported alpha disk with $\kappa \propto {\rho }^{1/3}{T}^{10}$, compare rates at fixed surface density of a disk, radius, $\alpha$ and composition on the thermal timescale of an accretion disk. Assume that the vertical dynamical timescale of a disk is shorter than that thermal time, and that the viscous timescale is longer; the separation is controlled for $\alpha \ll 1$ and small disk aspect ratio. Vertical hydrostatic equilibrium gives $H\propto T^{1/2}$, $\rho \propto T^{-1/2}$, so $\kappa \propto T^{59/6}$. Viscous heating satisfies $Q^{+}\propto T$ and radiative cooling satisfies $Q^{-}\propto T^4/(\kappa \Sigma )\propto T^{-35/6}$. At equilibrium a positive temperature perturbation changes the net heating by $(41/6)(Q_0/T)\delta T>0$. With positive effective heat capacity, it grows rather than relaxes. This is a local thermal statement and uses the fixed-column, rather than fixed-volume-density, comparison.