Expand the update in part (b). Its trinomial tree weights are
They connect the current state to at the next time. Their sum is one, their mean increment is , and their raw second increment moment is . Thus they match the log-price diffusion to first order in the time step.
Figure 1.
One-step log-price trinomial tree and its backward pricing average
. Details.
All three weights are probabilities precisely when they are nonnegative:
at every node and level. They are then automatically at most one. With positive , a simple sufficient uniform choice is and . If volatility vanishes at a node while drift does not, the centered weights cannot all be nonnegative.
Nonnegative weights make the backward update a convex combination, proving maximum-norm stability and monotonicity: interior errors cannot exceed the larger of the terminal and boundary errors. This is a sufficient stability condition, not an equivalence with every possible stability notion. For constant coefficients on an unrestricted or periodic grid, let and . The Fourier amplification factor is
Requiring for every frequency gives and . Indeed, with , , so its two endpoint inequalities suffice. Probability weights require the stronger . The distinction prevents interpreting a merely Fourier-stable scheme with negative weights as a probability tree.