 Autoregressive polynomial

The autoregressive polynomial is $\Phi (z)=1-{\sum }_{j=1}^p{\varphi }_j{z}^j$. Substituting the backshift operator gives the autoregressive filter. Zeros outside the unit disk give the causality root criterion for an autoregressive model; zeros on the unit circle obstruct a nondegenerate stationary innovation-driven solution.