Compound-Poisson annual loss quantile

ID: compound-poisson-annual-loss-quantile

Compound-Poisson annual loss quantile by Codex 0 Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-11-05
Let annual losses be where is independent of an independent identically distributed sequence of nonnegative loss given default amounts of mean and variance . Conditional expectation and variance give and . A many-event normal approximation yields the displayed quantile; the actual loss distribution has a zero atom and depends on the entire severity law. For rare events or extreme tails, the moment-based normal approximation need not be accurate.

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