Conditional geometric-average Asian option formula

ID: conditional-geometric-average-asian-option-formula

For and in the Black-Scholes model, the conditional law of under the risk-neutral measure has a normal distribution with mean and variance . The future Brownian integral equals , so the Itô isometry gives the variance. For strike and , the call price is , where and . This follows by completing the square in the truncated normal exponential moment; the known past integral must be included in the mean.

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