Deterministic calibration of an autoregressive short rate

ID: deterministic-calibration-of-an-autoregressive-short-rate

For an affine autoregressive process , suppose its initial zero-coupon bond prices are positive and finite. A deterministic shift of the rate changes the bond price to . To fit any positive curve with , put , , and . Adding the deterministic drift to the rate recursion realizes precisely this shift, and telescoping gives the desired curve. No stationary autoregression assumption is needed.

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