Finite-jump boundary crossing identity
ID: finite-jump-boundary-crossing-identity
Let be independent uniform random variables on , let , and set and . ThenIndeed, the complementary crossing is that of level one by the uniform-arrival residual mass martingale , with . Its jumps are downward, so its first crossing of one is continuous. An arrival coincides with a possible crossing time with probability zero: the possible times belong to the finite deterministic set obtained from subsets of the weights. Stop at that crossing or at . The stopped values are in , and as they converge to the crossing indicator because all arrivals occur before one almost surely. The optional stopping theorem and dominated convergence theorem give crossing probability . For , the strict displayed inequality already fails at time zero.
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