Likelihood-ratio test for an exponential support endpoint
ID: likelihood-ratio-test-for-an-exponential-support-endpoint
Let for independent and identically distributed observations, with having an exponential distribution of unknown scale . Test the null hypothesis within . For nondegenerate data, the likelihood function isMaximizing over the scale gives , and the resulting profile likelihood increases with . Thus the unrestricted maximum-likelihood estimates are and , while the null estimate is . The likelihood ratio is consequently
Under the null, put and . The memoryless property gives independent gamma distributions of shapes and and common scale . For a direct verification, fix which observation is the minimum and write its value as and the other observations as . Their joint density is proportional to , which factors into an exponential density for the minimum and independent exponential densities for the excesses. The minimum's index does not affect the resulting laws of .
By beta sampling by gamma ratios, . ThereforeAn exact test size is obtained by rejecting for . Equivalently,Although the alternative adds one endpoint parameter, a regular one-parameter Wilks theorem calibration is incorrect: the support depends on the endpoint, and the null lies on its boundary. In particular, tends to a chi-squared distribution with two statistical degrees of freedom, not one.
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