Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-martingales-and-financial-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2010/a/3/b/ii/solution

The blue count never decreases, so . For all sufficiently large , this is at least . Whenever the fresh draw satisfies , a blue ball is added. Part (a), with , says that such events occur infinitely often almost surely. Therefore . Consequently

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