Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-martingales-and-financial-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2010/b/5/d/solution

Put . Conditional on present information, is independent of the past and is normal with mean zero and variance . Part (c) gives
The future drift in this auxiliary stock is precisely the risk-neutral drift. Discounting the conditional expectation and applying the normal exponential-moment formula yields
At expiry this reduces to ; at time zero it gives . This is a special case of conditional power moments of a continuous geometric Asian average.

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