Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-martingales-and-financial-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2010/b/6/c/solution

The conditional mean solves with . Hence, for ,
The forward contract's terminal payoff is , so discounting this expectation gives its current value
For , the continuous limits are for the mean and for the contract value. A fair delivery price, as distinct from the current contract value, is the strike making this value zero: .

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