Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematical-and-computational-biology-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/paper-1/c5/c/i/solution
Past exam of the mathematical and Computational Biology course of the University of Cambridge 2024 Paper 1 C5 c i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-20
In the Yule process, each of branches gives birth independently at rate per generation. The next birth therefore has total rate . Its waiting time has an exponential distribution, so the mean phylogenetic epoch duration isFor the ensuing calculation use , and . This is the inter-event waiting-time convention requested in the question, including an observation interval with four branches. Stopping the forward process immediately when the fourth branch is born would instead leave a zero terminal interval and describe a different sampling convention.
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