Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematical-and-computational-biology-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/paper-1/c5/c/ii/solution

For a haploid population with possible parents, each pair of ancestral lineages merges backward at rate in the Kingman's coalescent approximation. With lineages there are pairs. Hence the mean phylogenetic epoch duration is
Thus , and . For an autosomal sample from diploid individuals, replace the number of gene copies by , giving . A mitochondrial sample naturally uses a haploid maternal effective population size; the common factor cancels in the ratios below.

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