Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematical-and-computational-biology-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2025/paper-2/5/e/solution

Setting the mean equation's derivative to zero gives
When the actual current occupancy is , the next admission has exponential distribution rate five and the next discharge has rate . The memoryless property makes these independent competing clocks conditional on the current occupancy. Therefore
The rate comparison uses the actual stated occupancy. Knowing only the mean occupancy would not justify replacing the random inside by its mean.

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