Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2003/ib/paper-4/3h/solution

Use the Pearson chi-squared goodness-of-fit test. Under the null hypothesis, each count has the specified binomial distribution, and no parameter is estimated from the data. The seven mutually exclusive classes give degrees of freedom. Their expected counts are all at least five, so the usual chi-squared asymptotic approximation does not require pooling. The computed statistic is
Since , do not reject fairness at the 5% level. The approximate -value is . This conclusion concerns agreement with the specified independent fair-coin count model; a nonrejection is not proof of fairness.

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