Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2004/iii/paper-39/3/c/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 39 3 c Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use identity-by-descent sharing of inbred full siblings, with the maximum number of copies that can be paired across the children as identical by descent. If two copies within one child have the same ancestral origin, they still count as two copies when both can be paired.
With probability the cousin parents share no ancestral copy. Conditional on this event, their children have ordinary Mendelian IBD sharing of full siblings, namely . With probability , the parental copies can be labelled and , with distinct ancestral origins. Each child independently receives one of , with probability each. Among the sixteen ordered child pairs, paired with in either order gives ; four equal genotype-origin pairs give ; the remaining ten give . The mixture isThese are inbred children, so the three sharing probabilities do not retain all within-child identities. The full Jacquard identity coefficients are . In particular, their kinship coefficient is ; applying the outbred formula here would be incorrect.
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