Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2006/iii/paper-47/5/a/i/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 47 5 a i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A random-walk update proposes , with an increment distribution independent of the current state. If its density is symmetric, , reducing the Metropolis–Hastings acceptance probability to . For nonsymmetric increments the proposal-density ratio must remain.
Such updates need little global knowledge of the target and adapt naturally to its local scale. Their limitation is a tuning tradeoff: very small increments accept often but move slowly, while very large increments are often rejected. They can also have difficulty moving between distant modes. Covariance-scaled increments help with anisotropic targets, but the chain still explores through local steps.
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