Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2007/ii/paper-3/27j/iii/solution

At the upper time-one node, both exercise and continuation values are zero. At the lower node, immediate exercise gives three while continuation gives , so exercise is strictly better. At time zero immediate exercise gives zero, whereas continuing gives
Thus continue at time zero and exercise at time one after a down move; at the upper node, exercise or continued holding is immaterial. One initial replicating portfolio for these optimal stopping values is , , costing and producing zero at stock 30 and three at stock 12.

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