Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2009/ii/paper-2/27j/a/solution

After a record of value , the first subsequent observation exceeding it has the original distribution conditioned on . Indeed, summing over the number of failed observations gives the density
Independence makes this conditional transition depend only on the latest record. Multiplying these transitions, starting with the density , proves
The ordering indicator is part of the density; it is zero elsewhere. Continuity of the observation distribution avoids ties.

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