Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2009/ii/paper-3/25j/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 ii Paper 3 25J Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
For events , their limsup is the event that infinitely many occur. The first Borel-Cantelli lemma states that implies , without independence. Indeedand intersecting these decreasing tail-unions proves the claim.
The second Borel-Cantelli lemma states that independent events with satisfy . For each fixed ,Thus the probability that no event occurs after is zero; take the countable union over to exclude finitely many occurrences.
As printed, the requested real logarithm is undefined: independent Cauchy random variables are negative with probability , and the second Borel-Cantelli lemma shows that this happens infinitely often almost surely. There is therefore no real-valued sequence as stated. The natural corrected expression uses (or takes the limsup only over indices with ).
For the absolute-value interpretation,For every the events are summable and hence occur only finitely often; for they are independent with divergent probability sum and occur infinitely often. Applying the two Borel-Cantelli lemmas to a countable sequence of approaching one from above and below givesThe one-sided tail gives the same constant for the positive-subsequence interpretation. It does not repair the undefined logarithms at the remaining indices unless that interpretation is explicitly adopted.
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