Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2010/ii/paper-2/29j/b/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 ii Paper 2 29J b Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the usual state-space assumption that the prior is independent of future process and observation noises. Suppose inductively . Prediction through the linear dynamics gives , where . The pair is conditionally multivariate normal, with means , cross covariance , and observation covariance . Applying part (a) gives the Kalman filterThis proves the inductive Gaussian assertion. The inverse requires nonsingular innovation covariance, as in the printed formula. Importantly, prediction uses : the TeX conversion drops this in one place, whereas the original PDF includes it.
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