Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2010/iii/paper-28/3/b/solution

Let swap coordinate blocks and , fixing all other coordinates. The symmetric law makes measure preserving, and invariance of the event gives pointwise. Put .
Conditional expectation transforms covariantly under this block swap:
To check it, the left side is -measurable, and for the change of variables by sends its defining integral to the conditional-expectation identity on , with . Thus the two versions agree. Measure preservation now gives
This is the first requested estimate.
The L1 contraction of conditional expectation follows from the pointwise bound : take expectations to get . Applied to a difference, it makes conditional expectation a contraction between any two integrable inputs.
Let . Since , is -measurable. Hence
Combining this with the other given approximation bound yields
The left side does not depend on , and was arbitrary. It is therefore zero. For a -measurable version , the event belongs to and satisfies
This proves that exchangeable invariant events are tail events modulo null sets. It does not assert literal pointwise equality of the two events or sigma-algebras before completing them with null sets.

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