Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2010/iii/paper-35/6/solution

The payoff is the expected fitness of an individual using strategy against a population using strategy . The resident is initially common; the mutant is introduced at small frequency . Convexity of the strategy set makes their population mixture admissible. If residents have higher expected fitness in every sufficiently small invasion by a fixed mutant, selection works against that mutant: this is an evolutionarily stable strategy. The allowed upper bound on may depend on .
For expected payoffs of mixed strategies, is affine in the population strategy ; in a finite matrix game it is . This property is the basis of the two-condition criterion for evolutionary stability. For fixed , put
Affineness gives the exact invasion difference
If this is positive for all sufficiently small , taking gives . If , the difference is , so necessarily . Conversely, if , it remains positive for sufficiently small : for example take . If and , it is positive for every . Applying this argument separately to every proves
Thus an evolutionarily stable strategy is a symmetric Nash equilibrium with an additional condition against tied mutants. For a general nonlinear interaction function on a convex set, affineness would be an additional necessary hypothesis for this particular equivalence; here it follows from the mixed-strategy expected-payoff interpretation. For example, on take and resident . For every , and , but at population the mutant earns while the resident earns zero. Thus the two conditions alone would not suffice for an arbitrary nonlinear ; the expected-payoff assumption is used explicitly.
For the Hawk-Dove game, let be an individual's Hawk probability and the population's Hawk probability. The given matrix yields
We use this formula in each case. In the usual interpretation, resource value and damage cost are positive. The parts below also specify the boundary or negative-value alternatives because positivity is not written explicitly in the PDF.

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