Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2011/ii/paper-1/27j/iii/solution

Starting from , the level reaches at time if the first holding time exceeds . This has probability ; surviving beyond also makes the level strictly greater than , as required by the strict event. A switch to at time has density , leaves level , and requires a later rise of . Absorption before reaching cannot succeed. Therefore
Holding times have continuous distributions, so the single endpoint has no effect on the formula.

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