Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2011/ii/paper-3/26j/iii/solution

Put , finite almost surely. Conditional on the intensity process, is Poisson with mean and variance . The law of total expectation and law of total variance give
Consequently for a Cox process,
These identities apply when the moments are finite; if the mean is finite but the integrated intensity has infinite variance, the count variance is infinite and the inequality still holds.

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