Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2012/iii/paper-37/3/d/solution

In the species-only model, the log odds for adult species A is the intercept, so with standard error 0.07824. This also follows directly by pooling its vials: there are 570 other-species eggs among 799 eggs eaten, giving and
For a regular maximum-likelihood estimator, asymptotic normality of a maximum likelihood estimator gives , with information . Substitution of gives . An approximate 95% Wald confidence interval is
This interval treats the selected species-only model as fixed; it does not account separately for uncertainty from choosing that model.

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