Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-34/2/g/solution

A predictive discrepancy statistic is a specified measurable function of a possible dataset, chosen to detect a feature relevant to the null hypothesis. Under the fully specified null density , compare the observed with its reference distribution, derived analytically or from replicated datasets .
For discrepancies whose large values indicate disagreement, use
A lower-tail or two-sided discrepancy requires the corresponding comparison. The checking function is a statistic, not a density; no unknown parameter is fitted when the null is fully specified.

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